Ismari-waaga Trump iyo Iran: Balanqaadka sagaalaad ma dhaboobi doonaa? - Wall Street Journal

Wargeyska Mareykanka ah ee "The Wall Street Journal" oo guddigiisa tifaftirku ku maadsadaan go'aamada uu ku dhawaaqo Madaxweyne Donald Trump ee ku saabsan soo afjaridda dagaalka lagula jiro Iran markii siddeedaad, iyagoo isweydiinaya haddii markii sagaalaad ay wax ka duwanaan doonaan, ka dib go'aankiisii ​​ugu dambeeyay ee ahaa in la joojiyo sii xoojinta colaadda milateri iyadoo la isku dayayo in heshiis lala galo "nidaamka kacaanka" — sida uu wargeysku u dhigay.

Maqaal cinwaankiisu yahay "Heshiiskii ugu dambeeyay ee Trump uu la galay Iran," qorayaashu waxay dib u xusayaan ku dhawaaqistii dhawaan ee madaxweynaha Mareykanka ee ku saabsanayd joojinta weerarrada lagu hayo Iran, iyagoo la yaaban xawaaraha "isbeddelka mucjisada ah" ee uu Trump ku joojiyay weerarradaas.

Guddiga tifaftirku waxay ka hadlayaan wixii ay baahisay Wakaaladda Wararka Sacuudiga (SPA) oo ku saabsanaa in Dhaxal-sugaha Sacuudiga Maxamed bin Salmaan uu ka codsaday Trump inuu ka laabto duqeymaha "iyadoo laga cabsi qabo in xarumaha shidaalka iyo maraakiibta shidaalka ee Sacuudiga ay noqdaan bartilmaameed u ah Iran oo ku taal Gacanka, iyo sidoo kale kooxda Xuutiyiinta ee wakiilka u ah Iran ee ku sugan Badda Cas."

Wargeysku wuxuu leeyahay: "Haddii tani ay run tahay, waa calaamad kale oo muujinaysa in Iran ay hadda gacanta ku hayso hoggaaminta iyo xakamaynta heerka colaaddan."

Tifaftiraha ayaa xusaya in Iiraan aysan wax badan ku dhawaaqin ilaa waqtigii maqaalka lagu qoray wargeyska, halka wararka laga helayo gorgortanka ay muujinayaan dhexdhexaadin socota oo ay hoggaaminayaan Saldanadda Cumaan iyo Qatar, iyadoo la tixgelinayo inaysan u badnayn in Tehran ay sameyn doonto tanaasul weyn oo ku saabsan barnaamijkeeda nukliyeerka, gaar ahaan maadaama heshiiska is-afgaradka ee la saxiixay Juun 17 uusan ku jirin, sida uu wargeysku sheegay, wax tanaasul ah oo xaddidan.

Guddiga tifaftirka ayaa aaminsan in hanjabaadaha Trump ee dhawaan ee ku aaddan sii socoshada ay yimaadeen ka dib markii Iiraan ay weerartay maraakiib isku dayay inay ka gudbaan Marinka Hormuz iyagoon haysan ogolaanshaha Tehran, marka lagu daro weerarkii gantaalka ee lagu qaaday "saldhigga Mareykanka ee Urdun," iyadoo la tixgelinayo in madaxweynaha Mareykanka uu ka go'ay sii socoshada iyo baaqyada nabadda ay ka tarjumayaan "qaab fowdo ah oo lagu maareeyo dagaalka."

Tifaftiraha ayaa ku doodaya in habkani uu jahwareerin karo kuwa ka soo horjeeda, laakiin isla mar ahaantaana wuxuu jahwareerinayaa ra'yiga dadweynaha Mareykanka, kaas oo aan hadda garanayn ujeeddooyinka dagaalka ama sida loo gaari doono, isagoo xusay in ra'yi ururintu ay muujisay hoos u dhac ku yimid taageerada codbixiyeyaasha ee dagaalka. Waxay intaas ku dartay in dib u soo noqoshada duqeymaha, haddii ay dhacdo, aysan yeelan doonin hadaf istaraatiijiyadeed oo cad marka laga reebo isku dayga lagu qasbayo Iiraan inay saxiixdo waxa uu Trump ugu yeeray "heshiis".

Wargeyska Mareykanka ah ayaa aaminsan in Trump, tan iyo markii uu ogolaaday xabbad-joojinta bishii Abriil, uu muujiyay rabitaan ah inuu ka baxo dagaalka; arrintan waxaa sabab u ah walaac laga qabo saameynta ay qiimaha saliidda ee sii kordhaya ku yeelan karaan dhaqaalaha Mareykanka, iyo rabitaankiisa ah inuu hoos u dhigo qiimaha shidaalka ka hor doorashooyinka dhexe, gaar ahaan iyadoo ay hoos u dhacayaan heerarka taageerada loo hayo.

Guddiga tifaftirka ayaa aaminsan in Tehran ay u fasiratay mowqifyadan inay yihiin calaamado muujinaya daciifnimo, sidaas darteedna ay heshiiska fahamka u aragtay fursad ay ku xaqiijin karto gacanta ay ku hayso marinka Hormuz. Sida uu qoray maqaalku, waxay sii wadday "kicin" ay ku hayso Washington iyadoo weeraraysa xulafadeeda iyo saldhigyadeeda, halka weerarrada Mareykankuna aysan weli ku guuleysan inay Iran ku qasbaan inay dib u gurato.

Wargeyska *Wall Street Journal* ayaa intaas ku daraya in Iran ay sidoo kale ka warqabto in Trump ay ku hareeraysan yihiin la-taliyeyaal ka soo horjeeday weerarka lagu qaadayo tan iyo bilowgii, kuwaas oo hadda doonaya inay soo afjaraan khilaafka iyagoo aqbalaya ku dhawaad ​​shuruud kasta; waxayna u arkaan in kharashka ku baxaya sii wadidda dagaalka uu ka badan yahay waxyeellada ku imaan karta sumcadda Mareykanka haddii la gaaro xabbad-joojin siinaysa Iran awoodda ay ku hoggaamiso xaaladda Gacanka.

Qoraalka tifaftirka ayaa lagu soo gabagabeeyay su'aal ku saabsan in Iran ay dhab ahaantii ogolaatay shuruudo loo arki karo guul u soo hoyatay Mareykanka – sida uu Trump tilmaamay – iyadoo la xusayo in kooxdiisa gorgortanka ay horey u u arkeen heshiiska fahamka caddeyn muujinaysa in Tehran ay "bog cusub furtay" oo ay doonayso inay noqoto "dal caadi ah."

Wuxuu ku soo gabagabeeyay in qiimeynta lagu saleeyo falalka Iran, ee aan lagu saleynin hadallada ay iyada ama Trump jeediyeen.